GKS Katowice lost the first match 0:2 and must take more risks at home. Hapoel Tel Aviv gets space for transitions, so three goals have two independent routes: pressure from the hosts and counterattacks by the visitors.

APIA Leichhardt has a moderate advantage due to its home profile and more consistent distance performance, but Sydney Utd's cup resilience does not allow the probability to be raised above 55%. The high price maintains a sufficient margin for a B-level rating.

The Champions League winner Paris SG approaches the Super Cup with a more cohesive squad and greater quality depth. Aston Villa are dangerous in transition, so the market is limited to a Paris SG win without a handicap.