Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 01/19/2023
To build a prediction for the Ceuta - Barcelona match, scheduled for 19 January 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. Ceuta have played 50 matches, in which they won 18 of them, drew 11 times and lost 21 matches. Barcelona, having played 50 matches, won 31 times, drew 11 matches and lost 8 defeats. In the league, Ceuta average 1.3 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Barcelona average 2.1 scored and 1 conceded.
Barça will undoubtedly get past this opponent, but the question is how?! I suppose the scenario could repeat itself, as in the previous round, when the Catalans allowed a team from a lower division to score three goals against them. Therefore, I'm betting on TO 3.5
The referee for this match is Juan Munuera. His average number of yellow cards per game is 6.6. For the teams, the yellow-card figures over the last 5 matches are as follows: 3 and 2.6. Both teams will be able to record 3 yellow cards in the match.
Ceuta have been performing well in the cup and do not play badly defensively. Barcelona, in turn, are not particularly motivated for this tournament. Therefore, I think there will be no thrashing. Barcelona will play a passive style of football.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 4 out of last 5 home matches, Ceuta won the second half.
2nd Half - W118.3
In 7 out of 9 last matches involving Ceuta, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.38
In 7 out of 8 last matches where Ceuta played at home, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.38
Ceuta scoresat home in 8 matches straight.
IT1O (0.5)2.312
Barcelona scores over 2 goals in 12 out of 24 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)1.456
In 5 last matches, Barcelona won the first half.
1st Half - W21.368
In 4 last away matches, Barcelona won the first half.
1st Half - W21.368
In 10 out of 12 last matches of Ceuta at home, over over 2 goals were scored.
TO (2.5)1.32
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Ceuta concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.22
In 5 last matches, Barcelona scores in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.22
Injuries & suspensions
The away side will be missing several key players, including midfielder Френки де Йонг, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Хуан Мунуэра (Spain). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 497 yellow cards (averaging 5 per match) and 20 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 30% of matches (30 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.