Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 01/28/2022
To build a prediction for the Nantes - Brest match, scheduled for 28 January 2022, several key factors could influence the outcome. Nantes have played 50 matches, in which they won 16 of them, drew 15 times and lost 19 matches. Brest, having played 50 matches, won 13 times, drew 16 matches and lost 21 defeats. In the league, Nantes average 1.3 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. Brest average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. These sides last met on 21 September 2021 at Nantes's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Нант выиграл оба поединка в прошлом чемпионате. И продолжил серию осенью, оформив уверенные 3-1 дома.
Оба клуба неплохо провели прошлый тур в Лиге 1, да и в целом прибавили. Не факт, что их очный поединок, еще и в кубке, будет зрелищным, но есть основания ждать "больше 1.5 голов".
Здесь решил не брать голы и не лезть в исходы.
Взял желтые карточки так как судья Бенуа Бастьен достаточно строгий, в прошлых своих матчах он давал в среднем 4-5 желтых. Поэтому думаю минимум 4 карты тут будет.
Понятия не имею, кто одержит победу и одержит ли... Но вот на тотал рискну поставить. Логика такова - если команда (неважно какая) забила один гол - у неё возникает азарт закрепить успех, поэтому ТБ (1.5)
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Nantes scores over 2 goals against Brest in 4 matches straight.
IT1O (2.5)5.7
In last 4 matches of Nantes and Brest against each other, Nantes wins by more than 1 goal.
H1 (-1.5)4.2
In 5 last matches, Nantes won the first half against Brest.
1st Half - W12.85
In 5 last matches, Nantes scores against Brest in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)2.04
In 10 out of 12 last matches where Brest played away, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.88
In 6 out of 9 last matches involving Nantes, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.872
In 7 out of last 9 home matches, Nantes scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.78
Brest concedes under 2 goals in 12 out of 15 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)1.59
Brest concedesaway in 11 out of 12 last matches.
IT1O (0.5)1.29
Nantes does not lose by more than 1 goal in 34 out of 38 last matches.
H1 (+1.5)1.075
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including forward Мозес Саймон. The squad is also missing several rotation players, with one more player a doubt. The away side will be missing a first-team player - midfielder Ромен Февр, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Бенуа Бастьен (France). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 438 yellow cards (averaging 4.4 per match) and 35 red cards (averaging 0.4 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 27% of matches (27 out of 100).