Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 08/06/2024
To build a prediction for the Qarabag - Ludogorets match, scheduled for 6 August 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Qarabag have played 50 matches, in which they won 36 of them, drew 6 times and lost 8 matches. Ludogorets, having played 50 matches, won 35 times, drew 6 matches and lost 9 defeats. In the league, Qarabag average 2.7 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Ludogorets average 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Qarabag host Ludogorets in the first leg of the Champions League qualifying semi-final. Qarabag look very convincing at home and very rarely lose. The team have extensive experience competing in European competitions. Qarabag started the season with three wins. First, they thrashed Lincoln 7-0 on ag... Show more
In the previous Europa League tournament, Qarabag made a splash by knocking Portuguese Braga out in the playoffs. They nearly pulled off a sensation against Bayer. The hosts score 2.7 goals and concede 1.2 goals. The visitors score 2.3 goals and concede 0.8 goals. I do not rule out BTTS.
The European competitions are entering the home stretch of the qualifying rounds, and the hosts need to step up. Qarabag consistently receives around 2 yellow cards at home, while Ludogorets gets almost three yellow cards away from home. The referee's average total is 4.5, therefore this prediction
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Ludogorets wins by more than 1 goal in 24 out of 41 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)10.5
Ludogorets scores over 2 goals in 8 out of 15 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)8.62
Ludogorets does not concede in 26 out of 46 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)5.72
Ludogorets does not concedeaway in 13 out of 21 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)5.72
Ludogorets won in 31 out of 41 last matches.
W24.93
Ludogorets won in 12 out of last 17 away matches.
W24.93
Qarabag scores over 2 goals in 17 out of 30 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)3.14
Qarabag scores over 2 goals in 4 home matches straight.
IT1O (2.5)3.14
In 17 out of 21 last matches involving Qarabag, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.875
In 8 last matches of Qarabag at home, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.875
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Урс Шнидер (Switzerland). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 475 yellow cards (averaging 4.8 per match) and 22 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 30% of matches (30 out of 100).