Based on last 50 matches in "Germany. Bundesliga", up to 05/17/2025
To build a prediction for the Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen match, scheduled for 17 May 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Mainz have played 50 matches, in which they won 20 of them, drew 15 times and lost 15 matches. Bayer Leverkusen, having played 50 matches, won 33 times, drew 14 matches and lost 3 defeats. In the league, Mainz average 1.6 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded. These sides last met on 13 January 2025 at Bayer Leverkusen's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Mainz are fighting for the Conference League, so a win is necessary. Bayer Leverkusen are already second and are preparing for next season. They will play for pleasure, they should score a goal while taking it easy, but Mainz should not let their opportunity slip. Score 2:1 1:1.
The same situation as with Bayern. Bayer Leverkusen have already finished the season, so there is no point in pushing on. Mainz are fighting for European competition and cannot afford to drop points in this match. A match of a lifetime for Mainz, in which there should be plenty of goals.
Matches involving Mainz, especially against top clubs, often become more defensive after halftime. Bayer Leverkusen, being a high-class team, prefers to control the game and minimize risks in the 2nd half, especially when leading.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Mainz does not score against Bayer Leverkusen in 9 out of 14 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)5.15
In last 4 home matches involving Mainz, a draw was recorded.
X3.915
In 5 out of 7 last matches, Mainz lost the first half.
1st Half - W23.22
In 17 out of last 24 away matches, Bayer Leverkusen won the first half.
1st Half - W23.22
In 4 last matches at home, Mainz lost the first half to Bayer Leverkusen.
1st Half - W23.22
In 4 out of last 5 away matches, Bayer Leverkusen won the second half.
2nd Half - W22.9
Mainz lost to Bayer Leverkusen in 11 out of 14 last matches.
W22.884
Mainz lost to Bayer Leverkusen at home in 5 out of 6 last matches.
W22.884
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Mainz concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.85
Mainz concedes under 2 goals in 20 out of last 25 home matches.
IT2U (1.5)1.85
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including goalkeeper Робин Центнер. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing several players from the rotation.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Тобиас Райхель (Germany). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 364 yellow cards (averaging 3.6 per match) and 13 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 28% of matches (28 out of 100).