Based on last 50 matches in "Germany. Bundesliga", up to 05/17/2025
To build a prediction for the Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen match, scheduled for 17 May 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Mainz have played 50 matches, in which they won 20 of them, drew 15 times and lost 15 matches. Bayer Leverkusen, having played 50 matches, won 33 times, drew 14 matches and lost 3 defeats. In the league, Mainz average 1.6 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded. These sides last met on 13 January 2025 at Bayer Leverkusen's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Майнц борется за Лигу Конференцию и поэтому победа необходима. Байер же уже второй, готовится к следующему сезону. Будут играть в свое удовольствие, гол на раслабоне забить должны, но Майнц не должен своего упускать. Счет 2:1 1:1.
Такая же ситуация как и у Баварии. Байер уже закончил сезон упираться смысла нет, Майнц же борется за еврокубки и терять очки в данном матче не допустимы. Матч жизни для Майнца в котором должно быть много голов.
Матчи с участием Майнца, особенно против топ-клубов, часто проходят в более закрытом ключе после перерыва. Байер, обладая высоким классом, предпочитает контролировать игру и минимизировать риски во 2-м тайме, особенно при положительном счёте.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Mainz does not score against Bayer Leverkusen in 9 out of 14 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)5.15
In last 4 home matches involving Mainz, a draw was recorded.
X3.915
In 5 out of 7 last matches, Mainz lost the first half.
1st Half - W23.22
In 17 out of last 24 away matches, Bayer Leverkusen won the first half.
1st Half - W23.22
In 4 last matches at home, Mainz lost the first half to Bayer Leverkusen.
1st Half - W23.22
In 4 out of last 5 away matches, Bayer Leverkusen won the second half.
2nd Half - W22.9
Mainz lost to Bayer Leverkusen in 11 out of 14 last matches.
W22.884
Mainz lost to Bayer Leverkusen at home in 5 out of 6 last matches.
W22.884
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Mainz concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.85
Mainz concedes under 2 goals in 20 out of last 25 home matches.
IT2U (1.5)1.85
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including goalkeeper Робин Центнер. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing several players from the rotation.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Тобиас Райхель (Germany). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 364 yellow cards (averaging 3.6 per match) and 13 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 28% of matches (28 out of 100).