Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 03/14/2025
To build a prediction for the Genoa - Lecce match, scheduled for 14 March 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Genoa have played 50 matches, in which they won 15 of them, drew 20 times and lost 15 matches. Lecce, having played 50 matches, won 10 times, drew 13 matches and lost 27 defeats. In the league, Genoa average 1.1 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Lecce average 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded. These sides last met on 4 January 2025 at Lecce's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
Both teams are low-scoring and goals come with difficulty. Genoa have squad problems with many injured players, while Lecce are fighting relegation, and I think that if they score first, they will sit back in defense. I do not expect many goals in this match.
Genoa have won 3 of their last 4 home matches. At the same time, Lecce have lost their last 3 league games. Looking at the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these teams at this venue, Genoa won all of them. Therefore, the pick is W1 + TU 3.5.
Lecce take corners very well, and in games against Genoa, they took 6 or more in each of the last 2 games. Moreover, both sides need points here, so there will be attacks. Total Over for the guests' corners according to the statistics
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Genoa won the second half.
2nd Half - W12.545
In 5 last home matches, Genoa won the second half.
2nd Half - W12.545
Lecce does not score in 28 out of 50 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.26
Lecce does not scoreaway in 16 out of 26 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.26
In 8 out of last 11 away matches involving Lecce, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X1.975
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Genoa scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.848
In last 5 home matches, Genoa scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.848
In 30 out of 43 last matches involving Lecce, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.76
In 19 out of 26 last matches where Lecce played away, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.76
Genoa scores under 2 goals in 21 out of 27 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)1.565
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without a first-team player - midfielder Мортен Торсбю. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing several players from the rotation.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Фабио Мареска (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 535 yellow cards (averaging 5.4 per match) and 29 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 27% of matches (27 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.