Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 09/22/2023
To build a prediction for the Lecce - Genoa match, scheduled for 22 September 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. Lecce have played 50 matches, in which they won 13 of them, drew 15 times and lost 22 matches. Genoa, having played 50 matches, won 8 times, drew 18 matches and lost 24 defeats. In the league, Lecce average 1.1 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. Genoa average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded. These sides last met on 18 July 2020 at Genoa's ground, where the home side came out on top.
For the next match, I decided to take Lecce vs Genoa in Serie A. I think both teams will be motivated to achieve a positive result, and since there is no obvious favorite here, I expect a tight, physical game with a large number of fouls and, consequently, yellow cards. In Lecce’s first 4 matches, t... Show more
Lecce have good attacking potential. The team have already scored 2 goals in 2 home matches against Lazio and Salernitana. I think it will not be too difficult for them to score at least 1 goal against such an ambiguous and inconsistent opponent as Genoa today.
Lecce started the new season very well: two home wins and two away draws. Lecce scored two goals in three of four matches. The teams' head-to-head meetings have featured a lot of Total Over, although Lecce have not won for a long time. But a high-scoring draw is enough for the prediction to land.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Lecce concedes over 1 goal from Genoa in 5 out of 6 last matches.
IT2O (1.5)3
Genoa does not score in 19 out of 32 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.75
Genoa does not scoreaway in 10 out of 14 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.75
Genoa lostaway in 5 out of 6 last matches.
W12.584
In 6 out of 8 last matches, Lecce scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.88
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Genoa concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.88
In 12 out of 16 last matches involving Genoa, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.829
In 7 last matches where Genoa played away, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.829
In 8 out of 9 last matches of Genoa away, over under 3 goals were scored.
TU (2.5)1.675
Genoa concedes under 2 goals in 18 out of 24 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)1.5
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the starting lineup. The away side will be missing several players from the rotation.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Антонио Рапуано (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 514 yellow cards (averaging 5.1 per match) and 32 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 22% of matches (22 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.