Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 01/11/2025
To build a prediction for the AC Milan - Cagliari match, scheduled for 11 January 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. AC Milan have played 50 matches, in which they won 25 of them, drew 15 times and lost 10 matches. Cagliari, having played 50 matches, won 12 times, drew 15 matches and lost 23 defeats. In the league, AC Milan average 1.8 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Cagliari average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. These sides last met on 8 November 2024 at Cagliari's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
AC Milan have been playing very poorly this season. The team is not among the top 6, and in the first round away from home they were unable to beat their opponent, drawing 3-3. I think there will also be more than 2.5 goals in this match, and I think AC Milan will win at home.
Sérgio Conceição triumphantly began his work in Milan. Under his leadership, the team played just two matches, but has already made two comebacks against Italy’s top clubs and won the country’s Super Cup. After that, a game against Cagliari is a walk in the park.
I think Cagliari will fight hard in this match. Milan have spent a lot of energy and may well be unable to put up a fight against the visitors in this match. Therefore, I think the visitors will at least not lose; at most, they will take 1 or 3 points. We’ll see.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 7 out of last 8 home matches involving AC Milan, a draw was recorded in the second half.
2nd Half - X3.296
In 5 out of 6 last matches involving AC Milan, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.704
In 5 out of 6 last matches involving AC Milan and Cagliari against each other, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.264
AC Milan does not concede in 8 out of 14 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.195
AC Milan does not concedeat home in 6 out of 8 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.195
AC Milan does not concede from Cagliari in 6 out of 11 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.195
AC Milan does not concedeat home from Cagliari in 6 out of 12 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.195
AC Milan scores over 2 goals in 7 out of last 14 home matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.1
AC Milan scores over 2 goals against Cagliari in 4 matches straight.
IT1O (2.5)2.1
AC Milan scores over 2 goalsat home against Cagliari in 9 out of 13 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.1
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including defender Эмерсон Роял. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing several key players, including defender Ерри Мина, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Франческо Фурно (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 469 yellow cards (averaging 4.7 per match) and 26 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 30% of matches (30 out of 100).