Based on last 50 matches in "France. Ligue 1", up to 05/17/2025
To build a prediction for the Nantes - Montpellier match, scheduled for 17 May 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Nantes have played 50 matches, in which they won 11 of them, drew 15 times and lost 24 matches. Montpellier, having played 50 matches, won 10 times, drew 9 matches and lost 31 defeats. In the league, Nantes average 0.9 goals scored per game and 1.6 conceded. Montpellier average 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded. These sides last met on 30 August 2024 at Montpellier's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
Nantes need a win, while Montpellier have already been relegated, so I think these teams could arrange a minor match-fixing scheme and simply throw the match in favor of the home side, while the visitors will just make flashy counterattacks and squander their chances.
Montpellier lost practically all of their matches in the second round. The visitors will deservedly be relegated to Ligue 2. Nantes, however, need points to avoid the playoff matches. Still, beating Montpellier should not be difficult for the home side.
Nantes - Montpellier. Outcome: W1 at 1.56
Nantes are playing at home, which makes them clear favourites, especially given that they simply need to win to stay in the top division. Montpellier, in turn, said goodbye to the top flight long ago and have no motivation whatsoever.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 4 out of 6 last matches of Nantes and Montpellier against each other, Nantes wins by more than 1 goal.
H1 (-1.5)2.488
In 5 out of 7 last matches involving Nantes (home) and Montpellier (away), a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.44
Nantes scores under 2 goals in 39 out of 50 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)2.145
Montpellier does not score in 17 out of 26 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.145
Nantes scores under 2 goals in 20 out of last 24 home matches.
IT1U (1.5)2.145
Montpellier does not scoreaway in 12 out of 16 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.145
Nantes does not concedeat home from Montpellier in 6 out of 10 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.145
In 7 out of 8 last matches of Nantes at home, over under 3 goals were scored.
TU (2.5)2
In 10 out of 12 last matches of Montpellier away, over under 3 goals were scored.
TU (2.5)2
In 13 out of last 16 away matches, Montpellier lost the second half.
2nd Half - W11.94
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without a first-team player - forward Мостафа Мохамед. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing a first-team player - defender Модибо Саньян, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Клеман Турпен (France). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 310 yellow cards (averaging 3.1 per match) and 21 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 30% of matches (30 out of 100).