Based on last 50 matches in "Netherlands. Eredivisie", up to 04/24/2025
To build a prediction for the AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda match, scheduled for 24 April 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. AZ Alkmaar have played 50 matches, in which they won 23 of them, drew 12 times and lost 15 matches. NAC Breda, having played 50 matches, won 17 times, drew 11 matches and lost 22 defeats. In the league, AZ Alkmaar average 1.7 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. NAC Breda average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded. These sides last met on 14 December 2024 at NAC Breda's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
AZ is in terrible form. The match against the underdog at home is a great opportunity to turn things around. But to win, they need to score goals. In the last two head-to-head meetings, the clubs exchanged goals; I think the trend will continue in this match.
AZ Alkmaar average 5.8 corners, and 6.1 at home. Given that the hosts will be very unwilling to lose to such an opponent today, I expect them to take at least 6 corners. Fortunately, NAC Breda allow opponents to take that many corners: from 6 to 11.
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The match has every chance of being high-scoring: both teams have motivation and defensive weaknesses. The "Both Teams to Score and TO 2.5" bet looks justified based on current form and statistics.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 4 out of 5 last matches involving NAC Breda, a draw was recorded.
X4.4
AZ Alkmaar scores over 2 goals against NAC Breda in 5 out of 8 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.57
In 5 out of 6 last matches, AZ Alkmaar concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.1
In 8 last matches, AZ Alkmaar won the second half against NAC Breda.
2nd Half - W11.83
In 4 last matches at home, AZ Alkmaar won the second half against NAC Breda.
2nd Half - W11.83
In 6 last matches involving AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda against each other, over over 2 goals were scored.
TO (2.5)1.59
NAC Breda lostaway in 5 out of 6 last matches.
W11.55
AZ Alkmaar won against NAC Breda in 8 matches straight.
W11.55
AZ Alkmaar scores over 1 goal against NAC Breda in 6 matches straight.
IT1O (1.5)1.52
In 17 out of 21 last matches, AZ Alkmaar scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.36
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Мартин ван ден Керкхоф (Netherlands). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 241 yellow cards (averaging 2.4 per match) and 16 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), making him one of the most lenient referees. He has awarded a penalty in 21% of matches (21 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an under on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.