Based on last 50 matches in "Netherlands. Eredivisie", up to 03/02/2025
To build a prediction for the Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar match, scheduled for 2 March 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Heerenveen have played 50 matches, in which they won 15 of them, drew 13 times and lost 22 matches. AZ Alkmaar, having played 50 matches, won 26 times, drew 11 matches and lost 13 defeats. In the league, Heerenveen average 1.4 goals scored per game and 1.9 conceded. AZ Alkmaar average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded. These sides last met on 13 September 2024 at AZ Alkmaar's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Here I will bet that AZ Alkmaar will score more than 1.5 goals. The team plays excellent attacking football, spending most of the time near the opponent's goal. From the first minutes, they will begin a siege of Heerenveen's goal; I don't think the home team will be able to defend effectively for al... Show more
Exclusively a statistical prediction. The hosts have been conceding quite a lot lately at home. Considering the last head-to-head meeting, where the away team put as many as nine past the hosts, I think they will score at least two this time.
The statistics for the 2nd half set a trend for scoring goals with a greater percentage advantage than in the 1st half. Therefore, a goal fest is possible among these teams from the very first minutes of the 2nd half. I expect this total to go Over.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Heerenveen concedes over 2 goals from AZ Alkmaar in 6 out of 11 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)4.38
In 9 out of 11 last matches, Heerenveen lost the second half to AZ Alkmaar.
2nd Half - W22.53
Heerenveen lost to AZ Alkmaar in 9 out of 12 last matches.
W22.17
Heerenveen lost to AZ Alkmaar at home in 7 out of 9 last matches.
W22.17
Heerenveen concedes over 1 goal from AZ Alkmaar in 20 out of 22 last matches.
IT2O (1.5)2.05
Heerenveen concedes over 1 goalat home from AZ Alkmaar in 12 out of 13 last matches.
IT2O (1.5)2.05
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Heerenveen concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.95
In 5 out of 6 last matches at home, Heerenveen concedes from AZ Alkmaar in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.95
Heerenveen does not lose at home in 10 out of 11 last matches.
1X1.755
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Heerenveen concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)1.648
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including forward Якоб Тренсков, with one more player a doubt. The away side will be missing a first-team player - forward Рюбен Ван Боммел, and are also missing several rotation players. Several more AZ Alkmaar players may also miss out.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Алекс Бос (Netherlands). Over the last 54 matches, he has shown 125 yellow cards (averaging 2.3 per match) and 9 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), making him one of the most lenient referees. He has awarded a penalty in 17% of matches (9 out of 54). Based on this statistic, an under on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.