Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 09/09/2024
To build a prediction for the Israel - Italy match, scheduled for 9 September 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Israel have played 50 matches, in which they won 19 of them, drew 11 times and lost 20 matches. Italy, having played 43 matches, won 22 times, drew 12 matches and lost 9 defeats. In the league, Israel average 1.5 goals scored per game and 1.5 conceded. Italy average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded. These sides last met on 4 September 2017 at Italy's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Italy played an amazing away match against France with the support of a full stadium. Scoring three goals against Mbappé and his teammates is worth a lot. After that, scoring three times against Israel on neutral ground will be much easier, especially since Belgium dealt with it calmly.
When Israel takes the field, the game becomes somewhat rough, and facing Italy today, they have no choice but to commit fouls, receive yellow cards and possibly red cards. But Italy is not exactly mild-tempered either and can also play aggressively, which they will demonstrate today.
In this match, I will try to bet TU 2.5. I will mainly base this on Italy's games. In my view, the Italians remain a top national team with TU as their main characteristic. I think the ceiling is 0-2, but definitely not more.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Italy scores under 2 goals in 7 out of last 9 away matches.
IT2U (1.5)2.75
In 9 out of last 11 home matches, Israel scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)2.6
In 7 out of 9 last away matches, Italy concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)2.6
In 7 out of last 9 away matches involving Italy, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.57
In 16 out of 20 last matches involving Israel, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.03
In 11 out of 12 last matches where Israel played at home, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.03
Italy does not concedeaway in 13 out of 22 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)2.02
Israel does not lose at homeby more than 1 goal in 22 out of 24 last matches.
H1 (+1.5)1.925
Israel scoresat home in 12 matches straight.
IT1O (0.5)1.79
Italy concedesaway in 8 out of 9 last matches.
IT1O (0.5)1.79
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without a first-team player - forward Эран Захави. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing several key players, including midfielder Жоржиньо, and are also missing several rotation players. Several more Italy players may also miss out.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Иван Кружляк (Slovakia). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 517 yellow cards (averaging 5.2 per match) and 27 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 23% of matches (23 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.