Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 03/07/2024
To build a prediction for the Marseille - Villarreal match, scheduled for 7 March 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Marseille have played 50 matches, in which they won 21 of them, drew 17 times and lost 12 matches. Villarreal, having played 50 matches, won 21 times, drew 13 matches and lost 16 defeats. In the league, Marseille average 1.6 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Villarreal average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. These sides last met on 30 July 2021 at Marseille's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Marseille play too poorly away from home, so they will try in every possible way to gain an advantage at home. Basically, I expect a win, but I probably still wouldn't expect many goals. Marseille concede few goals at home, and the Spaniards are not particularly prolific away from home.
Marseille improved their results slightly after changing coaches and got past Shakhtar in the last round. But the problems in defense have remained. I decided to take the away team's corners for this match; it seems to me they were undervalued.
For me, these are currently identical teams. The focus is on quick transitions from defense to attack and active pressing. The teams also have plenty of difficulties in defensive play. Guessing who will advance is like pointing a finger at the sky. But I think there will be goals from both teams.
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Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Villarreal concedes over 2 goals in 4 out of last 7 away matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.85
In 10 out of last 13 away matches, Villarreal scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)1.98
In 37 out of 47 last matches involving Villarreal, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.61
In 6 last matches where Marseille played at home, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.61
In 12 out of 14 last matches where Villarreal played away, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.61
In 11 out of last 13 home matches, Marseille scores in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)1.58
Marseille concedes under 2 goals in 21 out of 25 last matches.
IT2U (1.5)1.43
Marseille concedes under 2 goals in 18 out of last 22 home matches.
IT2U (1.5)1.43
Marseille concedes in 10 matches straight.
IT2O (0.5)1.41
Villarreal scoresaway in 13 out of 14 last matches.
IT2O (0.5)1.41
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Сердар Гозюбийк (Netherlands). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 389 yellow cards (averaging 3.9 per match) and 12 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 23% of matches (23 out of 100).