Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 02/15/2024
To build a prediction for the Benfica - Toulouse match, scheduled for 15 February 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Benfica have played 50 matches, in which they won 34 of them, drew 8 times and lost 8 matches. Toulouse, having played 50 matches, won 17 times, drew 15 matches and lost 18 defeats. In the league, Benfica average 2.1 goals scored per game and 0.9 conceded. Toulouse average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Benfica have scored two or more goals against their opponents in their last 4 matches, while the team from France have been poor defensively and have conceded quite a lot, so I think three or more goals will be scored in this match.
Benfica has recovered, and there will be no more such a collapse as in the first five rounds of the Champions League. On the other hand, Toulouse managed to score a goal against Liverpool away and beat them at home. Therefore, a Toulouse goal in Lisbon is very possible.
Today, Benfica are playing quality football. In their last 10 matches in all competitions, the team have not lost a single game. Toulouse, meanwhile, are in a poor state and have no consistency at all.
My prediction: W1 + TO 2.5
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Benfica scores over 2 goals in 8 out of 13 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.145
Benfica does not concedeat home in 11 out of 21 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.145
Benfica scores over 2 goals in 6 out of last 9 home matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.145
Benfica wins by more than 1 goal in 8 out of 13 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)1.97
Benfica wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 5 out of 7 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)1.97
In 8 out of 11 last matches, Benfica won the second half.
2nd Half - W11.67
In 4 last home matches, Benfica won the second half.
2nd Half - W11.67
In 13 out of 15 last matches involving Toulouse, over under 4 goals were scored.
TU (3.5)1.57
In 17 out of 20 last matches of Toulouse away, over under 4 goals were scored.
TU (3.5)1.57
In 11 out of 13 last matches, Benfica scores in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)1.475
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the rotation. The away side will be missing several players from the first team.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Донатас Румшас (Lithuania). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 461 yellow cards (averaging 4.6 per match) and 24 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 29% of matches (29 out of 100).