Qualifying cycle 1/2, knockout format. The teams are rough; they have nothing to lose, so I think they will commit fouls and receive yellow cards. I’m betting on Total Yellow Cards Over 4.5 at odds of 1.83. The Greeks average 1.8, the Kazakhs 2.8, nearly 5 YC between them.

In their last qualifying match, Kazakhstan fought desperately away against Slovenia and even scored a goal, but still lost. The game against Greece will develop in much the same way, although the visitors do not necessarily have to win in regular time here, but Kazakhstan will definitely score.

Kazakhstan regularly received 2 or more YC in the 2nd half in 9 out of 10 games during the Euro 2024 qualifiers. I think this match will be no exception, given its importance and the fact that it will be a one-off game with no chance to make a comeback.