Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 07/25/2023
To build a prediction for the HJK - Molde match, scheduled for 25 July 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. HJK have played 50 matches, in which they won 26 of them, drew 12 times and lost 12 matches. Molde, having played 50 matches, won 36 times, drew 4 matches and lost 10 defeats. In the league, HJK average 1.4 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. Molde average 2.5 scored and 1 conceded.
In this match, Molde will most likely win, as the Swedish club is much stronger. I think it is obvious that Molde have every chance of advancing from the qualifying stage into the Champions League, whereas Finnish HJK should be good enough to avoid a heavy defeat.
The Finnish team is playing at their home stadium, and I have no doubt that they will concede a goal to the stronger Norwegian team, but I think they will manage to beat the Norwegian goalkeeper at least once. I think the score will be 1-2
I think Molde are more than obvious favorites for this match. The team has looked very lively lately and has scored 16 goals in the last 5 matches, more than 3 per game on average, so I think they will also manage to do so against the Finnish team.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
HJK does not concedeat home in 7 out of 11 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)4.81
In 7 out of 9 last matches of Molde away, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)3.67
Molde scores over 2 goals in 11 out of 17 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)3.54
Molde scores over 2 goals in 5 out of last 9 away matches.
IT2O (2.5)3.54
In 5 last matches of HJK at home, over under 2 goals were scored.
TU (1.5)3.5
Molde wins by more than 1 goal in 4 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)2.8
Molde does not concede in 10 out of 17 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)2.46
In 7 last matches, Molde won the first half.
1st Half - W22.36
HJK does not lose at home in 15 out of 16 last matches.
1X2.23
HJK concedes under 2 goals in 20 out of 23 last matches.
IT2U (1.5)1.96
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including midfielder Матти Пелтола. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing one player from the rotation.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Свен Яблонски (Germany). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 375 yellow cards (averaging 3.8 per match) and 10 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 24% of matches (24 out of 100).