Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 02/11/2024
To build a prediction for the AC Milan - Napoli match, scheduled for 11 February 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. AC Milan have played 50 matches, in which they won 27 of them, drew 12 times and lost 11 matches. Napoli, having played 50 matches, won 30 times, drew 9 matches and lost 11 defeats. In the league, AC Milan average 1.7 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Napoli average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded. These sides last met on 28 October 2023 at Napoli's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
In my opinion, already in the second half of the championship, the home side have looked noticeably better in terms of their play. Napoli have slowed down a bit and are barely managing to score their goals, while AC Milan are expected to win at home, possibly even by a large margin.
AC Milan host Napoli. AC Milan are strong in home games, while Napoli have only 1 point and a goal difference of 0-6 in their last 4 away matches. Napoli will probably be unable to earn points in this game either. Pick - AC Milan to win...
At least a couple of fairly interesting factors may support today evening’s pick: AC Milan are favorites because they are playing at home and because, although they never fully enchant or convince, they consistently manage to hold third place, giving the impression that they can get closer to the to... Show more
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
AC Milan scores over 2 goals in 4 out of 5 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)3.94
In 5 out of 7 last matches involving AC Milan and Napoli at AC Milan's home, over under 2 goals were scored.
TU (1.5)3.61
AC Milan wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 9 out of 16 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)3.184
Napoli does not score in 7 out of 11 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.76
AC Milan does not concedeat home in 10 out of 20 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.76
In 6 out of 8 last matches involving AC Milan (home) and Napoli (away), a draw was recorded in the second half.
2nd Half - X2.675
In 4 last matches, AC Milan won the first half against Napoli.
1st Half - W12.61
In 5 out of 6 last matches, AC Milan won the second half.
2nd Half - W12.355
In 4 out of last 5 home matches, AC Milan won the second half.
2nd Half - W12.355
In 7 out of 8 last matches involving Napoli, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.25
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including midfielder Тиджани Рейндерс. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing a first-team player - forward Виктор Осимхен, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Даниэле Довери (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 407 yellow cards (averaging 4.1 per match) and 18 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 28% of matches (28 out of 100).