Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 03/20/2025
To build a prediction for the Netherlands - Spain match, scheduled for 20 March 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Netherlands have played 46 matches, in which they won 28 of them, drew 11 times and lost 7 matches. Spain, having played 44 matches, won 31 times, drew 8 matches and lost 5 defeats. In the league, Netherlands average 2.3 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. Spain average 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. These sides last met on 10 November 2020 at Netherlands's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
Today I expect the teams to produce an entertaining match. I believe the Netherlands, playing at home, can score one or two goals, while we know how prolific Spain currently is. I also expect them to score at least 2 goals. I think the two teams can go over a total of 2.5 goals.
Spain are European champions, so I think they will win, and the team’s potential is huge. The Netherlands do not yet give the impression of a stable team; there are still plenty of problems in their play, especially in attack.
Likewise, in this match I will try to bet on a draw in regular time. Yes, practically any moment can decide the outcome, from a ridiculous own goal to a penalty that still needs to be converted. Therefore, I am counting on a maximum of 1-1.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 4 out of last 5 home matches, Netherlands won the second half.
2nd Half - W13.325
Spain does not concede in 20 out of 39 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)3.264
Spain does not concedeaway in 9 out of 17 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)3.264
In 4 out of 5 last matches, Spain won the first half.
1st Half - W22.955
Netherlands scores over 1 goal in 5 out of last 6 home matches.
IT1O (1.5)2.535
Spain won in 5 matches straight.
W22.24
Spain won in 6 out of last 7 away matches.
W22.24
In 5 out of 6 last home matches, Netherlands concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.936
In 6 last matches of Netherlands at home, over over 2 goals were scored.
TO (2.5)1.9
In 35 out of 45 last matches, Netherlands scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.848
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including midfielder Джорджиньо Вейналдум. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing several key players, including midfielder Родри, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Гленн Нюберг (Sweden). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 358 yellow cards (averaging 3.6 per match) and 12 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 15% of matches (15 out of 100).