Based on last 50 matches in "Netherlands. Eredivisie", up to 01/11/2025
To build a prediction for the Ajax - Waalwijk match, scheduled for 11 January 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Ajax have played 50 matches, in which they won 26 of them, drew 14 times and lost 10 matches. Waalwijk, having played 50 matches, won 8 times, drew 12 matches and lost 30 defeats. In the league, Ajax average 2.1 goals scored per game and 1.5 conceded. Waalwijk average 1.1 scored and 1.9 conceded. These sides last met on 28 September 2024 at Waalwijk's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
Ajax will certainly attack a lot in this match and will most likely beat their opponent convincingly, but the hosts take very few corners, and I also think there will not be a large number of corners in this match.
Corner strategy prediction. Ajax will cover the corner handicap based on both teams' possession statistics: Ajax has 60.4 and Waalwijk has 39, and based on the average number of shots per match, these are 13.1 and 10.5.
Total Over 10.5 corners landed in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches between these teams in the Eredivisie, with each team averaging 5 corners per match. Both teams do not like to sit back in defense, so we can expect attacking football, where it is quite likely to see many corners.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Ajax does not concedeat home in 6 out of 9 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)1.9
Ajax does not concede from Waalwijk in 9 out of 16 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)1.9
In 9 out of 12 last matches of Waalwijk away, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)1.77
In 6 out of 7 last matches involving Ajax and Waalwijk against each other, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)1.77
Waalwijk concedes over 2 goals in 9 out of 18 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.475
Ajax scores over 2 goals in 5 out of last 9 home matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.475
Waalwijk concedes over 2 goals in 8 out of last 12 away matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.475
Ajax scores over 2 goals against Waalwijk in 9 out of 11 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.475
Ajax scores over 2 goalsat home against Waalwijk in 6 matches straight.
IT1O (2.5)1.475
In 17 out of last 21 home matches, Ajax won the first half.
1st Half - W11.44
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the rotation. The away side will be missing a first-team player - defender Хуан Кастильо, and are also missing several rotation players. Several more Waalwijk players may also miss out.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Алекс Бос (Netherlands). Over the last 52 matches, he has shown 123 yellow cards (averaging 2.4 per match) and 9 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), making him one of the most lenient referees. He has awarded a penalty in 13% of matches (7 out of 52). Based on this statistic, an under on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.