Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 08/17/2023
To build a prediction for the HJK - Qarabag match, scheduled for 17 August 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. HJK have played 50 matches, in which they won 26 of them, drew 11 times and lost 13 matches. Qarabag, having played 50 matches, won 32 times, drew 10 matches and lost 8 defeats. In the league, HJK average 1.5 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. Qarabag average 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. These sides last met on 9 August 2023 at Qarabag's ground, where the home side came out on top.
HJK should attack because they need to score at least one goal. I think Qarabag will play strictly defensively and will most likely commit fouls more often when winning the ball back. So this will be my pick.
UEFA Europa League. Qarabag dominated the first match, but conceded a goal at the end. Now at home, HJK will attack furiously; they need a win, so there is no point in sitting back. The visitors are good in attack. I expect both teams to score and the total to be over.
I think Qarabag will go on the attack from the first minutes; however, I’m afraid it’s risky to bet on the total goals here. HJK are also a team that know how to defend. One of the chances is corners, and Qarabag takes many of them—an average of 6.5 per game. But since the first half may produce few... Show more
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Qarabag scores over 2 goals in 10 out of 19 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)5
Qarabag scores over 2 goals in 5 out of last 9 away matches.
IT2O (2.5)5
Qarabag wins by more than 1 goal in 10 out of 19 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)4.4
Qarabag wins awayby more than 1 goal in 5 out of 9 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)4.4
HJK does not concedeat home in 8 out of 13 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)3.55
In 6 out of 7 last matches of HJK at home, over under 2 goals were scored.
TU (1.5)3.28
Qarabag does not concedeaway in 12 out of 22 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)3.1
HJK won in 5 out of last 6 home matches.
W12.908
In 9 out of 12 last matches, Qarabag won the second half.
2nd Half - W22.63
In 4 out of last 5 away matches, Qarabag won the second half.
2nd Half - W22.63
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Вилли Делажо (France). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 414 yellow cards (averaging 4.1 per match) and 39 red cards (averaging 0.4 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 42% of matches (42 out of 100).