Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 02/25/2024
To build a prediction for the AC Milan - Atalanta match, scheduled for 25 February 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. AC Milan have played 50 matches, in which they won 27 of them, drew 12 times and lost 11 matches. Atalanta, having played 50 matches, won 25 times, drew 7 matches and lost 18 defeats. In the league, AC Milan average 1.7 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Atalanta average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded. These sides last met on 9 January 2024 at AC Milan's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
Although AC Milan had a comfortable lead before the second leg against Rennes, the match proved difficult for them. Moreover, the entire starting lineup was used, with the exception of Giroud. I will try to assume that the lads will take the field not at their freshest, and this may benefit Atalanta... Show more
The away team are in very good form; they have won five league matches in a row, and this year they beat their opponent 2-1 in a cup match. Before that, they won 3-2 at home in the first round. I think these teams will score against each other again in this match.
AC Milan are simply playing out the season now, enjoying themselves. Atalanta are eager for the fight, scoring in every match. I think this game could well go over the total, as the teams have been scoring a lot lately.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Atalanta wins by more than 1 goal in 5 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)5.99
Atalanta scores over 2 goals in 4 out of 5 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)5.81
AC Milan scores over 2 goals in 4 out of 7 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)4.41
AC Milan does not score against Atalanta at home in 6 out of 12 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)4.21
AC Milan wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 9 out of 17 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)4.15
In 5 last matches, Atalanta won the first half.
1st Half - W23.64
AC Milan does not concedeat home in 11 out of 21 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)3.56
Atalanta won in 5 matches straight.
W23.205
In 5 out of 6 last matches involving AC Milan, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.95
Atalanta scores over 1 goal in 5 matches straight.
IT2O (1.5)2.448
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including forward Лука Йович. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing a first-team player - forward Адемола Лукман, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Даниэле Орсато (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 497 yellow cards (averaging 5 per match) and 21 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 20% of matches (20 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.