Based on last 50 matches in "Germany. Bundesliga", up to 10/20/2023
To build a prediction for the Dortmund - Werder Bremen match, scheduled for 20 October 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. Dortmund have played 50 matches, in which they won 32 of them, drew 8 times and lost 10 matches. Werder Bremen, having played 50 matches, won 12 times, drew 7 matches and lost 31 defeats. In the league, Dortmund average 2.4 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. Werder Bremen average 1.4 scored and 2 conceded. These sides last met on 10 February 2023 at Werder Bremen's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
Werder are showing themselves very poorly in defense, so we should back Dortmund's goals. They look quite good this season; winning the championship is of course hard to believe, but the fight for the Champions League is in full swing. I expect a thrashing.
Is it worth betting on clean-sheet wins in the German Bundesliga? A rhetorical question, perhaps. Even underdogs can be very prolific. However, Dortmund won 2 of their 4 home matches without conceding. So, it is worth checking.
Dortmund are playing an obvious underdog after a 2-week break. I think the cohesion of teams that have played in the league needs to be worked on. I think the visitors will sit deep. Against such teams, you need to play on the counterattack.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Werder Bremen scores over 1 goal in 5 matches straight.
IT2O (1.5)3.24
In 6 out of 8 last matches at home, Dortmund concedes from Werder Bremen in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)2.41
In 5 last matches, Werder Bremen scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.025
In 6 out of 8 last matches of Dortmund at home, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)1.73
Dortmund wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 9 out of 16 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)1.72
In 4 last matches at home, Dortmund won the first half against Werder Bremen.
1st Half - W11.69
Dortmund scores over 2 goals in 8 out of 14 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.685
Dortmund scores over 2 goals in 10 out of last 16 home matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.685
Dortmund scores over 2 goalsat home against Werder Bremen in 4 out of 8 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.685
In 4 last matches, Dortmund won the second half.
2nd Half - W11.584
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the rotation. The away side will be missing several key players, including defender Амос Пипер, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Феликс Брих (Germany). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 331 yellow cards (averaging 3.3 per match) and 7 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 17% of matches (17 out of 100).