Based on last 50 matches in "Norway. Eliteserien", up to 07/19/2023
To build a prediction for the Lillestrom - Aalesund match, scheduled for 19 July 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. Lillestrom have played 50 matches, in which they won 27 of them, drew 9 times and lost 14 matches. Aalesund, having played 50 matches, won 12 times, drew 11 matches and lost 27 defeats. In the league, Lillestrom average 1.8 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Aalesund average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded. These sides last met on 5 November 2022 at Aalesund's ground, where the home side came out on top.
In this match, I am simply referring to the teams' statistics: over the last five matches, the hosts concede an average of 2 corners in the first half; by the way, the visitors usually also take more than 2 corners away from home in the first match.
Aalesund lost 11 of their 14 games, and away they lost all 6 out of 6, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 14. Lillestrom, meanwhile, scored 15 and conceded 12 at home in 7 games, consistently beating the total. I expect an obvious home win
The second team had more than four corners in its last six away matches; in the last head-to-head match, the teams had a large number of corners, with the second team winning on corner count.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 9 out of last 11 home matches involving Lillestrom, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.81
Aalesund does not score in 8 out of 14 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.385
Aalesund does not scoreaway in 12 out of 22 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.385
In 7 out of 10 last matches where Aalesund played away, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No2.04
Aalesund concedes over 2 goals in 7 out of 12 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.936
In 7 out of 8 last matches where Lillestrom played at home, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.78
In 4 out of 5 last matches at home, Lillestrom won the first half against Aalesund.
1st Half - W11.765
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Aalesund lost the second half.
2nd Half - W11.63
In 5 last away matches, Aalesund lost the second half.
2nd Half - W11.63
Lillestrom concedesat home in 13 matches straight.
IT2O (0.5)1.58
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without one player from the rotation, with several other players also doubtful. The away side will be missing a first-team player - defender Давид Фальман. Several more Aalesund players may also miss out.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Кристоффер Хагенес (Norway). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 340 yellow cards (averaging 3.4 per match) and 17 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 24% of matches (24 out of 100).