Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 09/12/2023
To build a prediction for the Italy - Ukraine match, scheduled for 12 September 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. These sides last met on 11 September 2007 at Ukraine's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
Well, if Italy cannot beat Ukraine at home, then I believe there can be no talk of qualifying from the group! Many people, including me, expected nothing but a win from the Italians against North Macedonia in the previous round, but they somehow managed to draw with them! Italy had an unsuccessful f... Show more
The Italians allow their opponents to take corners. Dovbyk starting up front and Tsyhankov being moved to the left flank, it seems to me, means that the national team will be relying on chances from set pieces and corners. The bet is quite risky; I recommend taking it with the safety net of TO 3.
The Italians clearly need to win because they are simply superior to them. They have a balanced team, with almost all of them from Italian clubs, so they are well-drilled as a unit. I think the score in the match will be 3-1.
Pre-Match Facts
Motivation
Italy - 2.5/10
Status in the current match - clear favourite
Italy1.51
Draw4.23
Ukraine7.55
Next match - in 32 days, against a clear underdog
Italy1.03
Draw17
Malta41
Ukraine - 2/10
Status in the current match - clear underdog
Italy1.51
Draw4.23
Ukraine7.55
Next match - in 32 days, against a clear underdog
Ukraine1.63
Draw3.98
North Macedonia5.65
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including defender Леонардо Бонуччи. The squad is also missing several rotation players. The away side will be missing a first-team player - midfielder Руслан Малиновский, and are also missing several rotation players. One more Ukraine player is a doubt for this match.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Алехандро Хосе Эрнандес (Spain). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 551 yellow cards (averaging 5.5 per match) and 21 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 32% of matches (32 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.