Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 01/18/2023
To build a prediction for the AC Milan - Inter match, scheduled for 18 January 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. AC Milan have played 50 matches, in which they won 30 of them, drew 14 times and lost 6 matches. Inter, having played 50 matches, won 28 times, drew 11 matches and lost 11 defeats. In the league, AC Milan average 1.7 goals scored per game and 0.9 conceded. Inter average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded. These sides last met on 2 September 2022 at AC Milan's ground, where the home side came out on top.
There is no clear favorite in this matchup, but I favor Inter. Inter need to win this Super Cup to meet the fans’ expectations after last year’s former championship and redeem themselves.
One of the most famous derbies in the world, especially for the Super Cup. The game will be quite active and aggressive, and considering the “hosts’” squad problems, it will be easier for Inter to score. BTTS would also be a good option, but I believe more in an Inter win.
AC Milan woke up late against Lecce and, as a result, dropped points against a quite attractive team. The Rossoneri’s defense has been unreliable since the restart of the championship and concedes in every match. Inter are a more balanced team that makes fewer defensive mistakes thanks to the experi... Show more
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Inter concedes over 2 goals in 5 out of last 11 away matches.
IT1O (2.5)6.51
AC Milan wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 8 out of 15 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)5.83
Inter scores over 2 goals in 6 out of 13 last matches.
IT2O (2.5)5.52
AC Milan does not concedeat home in 12 out of 22 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)3.54
In 11 out of last 15 home matches, AC Milan won the second half.
2nd Half - W13.144
AC Milan won in 13 out of last 17 home matches.
W12.955
AC Milan scores over 1 goal in 5 home matches straight.
IT1O (1.5)2.675
Inter concedes over 1 goal in 6 away matches straight.
IT1O (1.5)2.675
In last 5 home matches, AC Milan scores in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)2.235
In 5 out of 6 last away matches, Inter concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)2.235
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including goalkeeper Майк Меньян. The squad is also missing several rotation players, with one more player a doubt. The away side will be missing several key players, including midfielder Марсело Брожович. One more Inter player is a doubt for this match.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Фабио Мареска (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 544 yellow cards (averaging 5.4 per match) and 33 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 22% of matches (22 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.