Based on last 50 matches in "Germany. Bundesliga", up to 10/16/2021
To build a prediction for the Dortmund - Mainz match, scheduled for 16 October 2021, several key factors could influence the outcome. Dortmund have played 50 matches, in which they won 31 of them, drew 4 times and lost 15 matches. Mainz, having played 50 matches, won 16 times, drew 12 matches and lost 22 defeats. In the league, Dortmund average 2.2 goals scored per game and 1.3 conceded. Mainz average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded. These sides last met on 15 May 2021 at Mainz's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
It’s all very simple here: prolific Dortmund and resilient Mainz. Borussia without Haaland is a very attacking and creative team; if he plays as well, there will definitely be at least a couple of goals here. I’m expecting goals from both sides and definitely 2 from Dortmund.
In 7 out of 10 last matches involving Dortmund, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.368
In 6 out of 8 last matches of Dortmund at home, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.368
Dortmund scores over 2 goals in 9 out of 14 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.31
In 8 out of 10 last matches, Dortmund concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.31
Dortmund scores over 2 goals in 6 out of last 8 home matches.
IT1O (2.5)2.31
In 5 out of 6 last home matches, Dortmund concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.31
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Dortmund concedes from Mainz in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.31
Dortmund wins by more than 1 goal in 7 out of 13 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)2.12
Dortmund wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 12 out of 21 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)2.12
In 9 out of 17 last matches of Dortmund and Mainz against each other, Dortmund wins by more than 1 goal.
H1 (-1.5)2.12
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including defender Рафаэл Геррейру. The squad is also missing several rotation players, with several other players also doubtful. The away side will be missing several key players, including defender Джерри Сен-Жюст. One more Mainz player is a doubt for this match.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Даниэль Шлагер (Germany). Over the last 75 matches, he has shown 309 yellow cards (averaging 4.1 per match) and 12 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 27% of matches (20 out of 75).