Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 04/27/2025
To build a prediction for the Atalanta - Lecce match, scheduled for 27 April 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Atalanta have played 50 matches, in which they won 29 of them, drew 10 times and lost 11 matches. Lecce, having played 50 matches, won 10 times, drew 13 matches and lost 27 defeats. In the league, Atalanta average 2 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. Lecce average 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded. These sides last met on 18 August 2024 at Lecce's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
The teams are completely different in class. Atalanta are in excellent form at home. And today, their victory looks very confident, by a margin of 2 goals or more. Lecce will not be able to do anything against Atalanta's attack in the game.
Atalanta are 3rd in the league with 64 points. There will be no motivation to collect points in this match; rather, it will be a battle for superiority in the eyes of the other leaders. The team's home total is 1.9, with a 50% win rate.
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Lecce knows how to surprise strong opponents with its play and often scores at least one goal. Atalanta, no matter how strong it is at home, often collapses in defense and concedes a goal, or even more than one. So I’ll take the risk: Lecce Team Total Over 1.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 7 out of last 9 home matches involving Atalanta, a draw was recorded in the second half.
2nd Half - X3.275
In 6 out of last 8 home matches involving Atalanta, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.808
In 6 out of 7 last matches involving Atalanta, over under 3 goals were scored.
TU (2.5)2.3
In 6 last matches of Atalanta at home, over under 3 goals were scored.
TU (2.5)2.3
Atalanta does not concede in 7 out of 10 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)1.848
Lecce does not score in 26 out of 48 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)1.848
Lecce does not scoreaway in 10 out of 17 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)1.848
In 10 last matches involving Atalanta, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.74
In 32 out of 48 last matches involving Lecce, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.74
In 16 out of 24 last matches where Lecce played away, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.74
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the rotation. The away side will be missing a first-team player - forward Никола Крстович, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Федерико Ла Пенна (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 463 yellow cards (averaging 4.6 per match) and 24 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 24% of matches (24 out of 100).