Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 03/07/2025
To build a prediction for the Cagliari - Genoa match, scheduled for 7 March 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Cagliari have played 50 matches, in which they won 11 of them, drew 15 times and lost 24 matches. Genoa, having played 50 matches, won 15 times, drew 20 matches and lost 15 defeats. In the league, Cagliari average 1.1 goals scored per game and 1.7 conceded. Genoa average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded. These sides last met on 23 November 2024 at Genoa's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
I think the most optimal outcome of this match is a draw. Neither team is in the best form, and both teams are struggling in attack. The last match between the teams took place at the end of 2024 and ended in a hard-fought draw. I think this time it will be a draw, but a more boring one.
Only 3 points separate the hosts from the relegation zone, so they need to play for a win, i.e. score. Genoa are in the middle of the league table, and a draw will suit them as well.
I dare to assume that in this match both teams will not score more than 4 goals.
After two unsuccessful matches, Cagliari have the opportunity not only to earn points but also to secure their first victory in a month. Genoa are higher in the league table, but Patrick Vieira's side still earn the lion's share of their points at their home ground, Luigi Ferraris. Away from home, t... Show more
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Genoa won the second half.
2nd Half - W23.425
Genoa does not concede in 7 out of 14 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)3.2
Cagliari does not score against Genoa in 7 out of 10 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)3.2
In 5 out of 6 last matches involving Cagliari and Genoa against each other, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X1.97
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Genoa scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)1.95
In 13 out of 17 last home matches, Cagliari concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)1.95
In 7 out of 10 last matches involving Cagliari and Genoa, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.848
Cagliari concedes in 24 out of 26 last matches.
IT2O (0.5)1.475
11 out of last 12 home matches involving Cagliari did not end in a draw.
121.44
Genoa scores under 2 goals in 20 out of 26 last matches.
IT2U (1.5)1.34
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without a first-team player - forward Зито Лувумбо. The away side will be missing a first-team player - midfielder Мортен Торсбю, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Микаэль Фаббри (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 448 yellow cards (averaging 4.5 per match) and 29 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 26% of matches (26 out of 100).