Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 02/28/2025
To build a prediction for the Fiorentina - Lecce match, scheduled for 28 February 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. Fiorentina have played 50 matches, in which they won 22 of them, drew 13 times and lost 15 matches. Lecce, having played 50 matches, won 11 times, drew 14 matches and lost 25 defeats. In the league, Fiorentina average 1.6 goals scored per game and 1.1 conceded. Lecce average 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. These sides last met on 19 October 2024 at Lecce's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
Livio Marinelli has been appointed as the referee, one of Italy’s referees with the lowest averages: the average total in Serie A over the last 15 matches is 3.27 yellow cards. The teams play quite roughly against each other; there have not been fewer than 4 yellow cards for a long time. I think thi... Show more
Based on the head-to-head statistics, I can assume the following. Both teams will score today, but Fiorentina will win. The visitors can play well against top clubs and have scored goals against them repeatedly. Fiorentina must win after a losing streak.
Something has changed in the style of play of both teams, and consequently the statistics of these teams regarding corners have changed. Fiorentina used to earn corners near the visitors' goal in the first half at home, but today they are earning few of them, and the visitors also do not often earn ... Show more
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Fiorentina lost the second half.
2nd Half - W24.65
In 5 out of last 6 home matches, Fiorentina lost the second half.
2nd Half - W24.65
In 11 out of 12 last matches, Fiorentina concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.5
In 5 out of 6 last home matches, Fiorentina concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.5
Lecce does not score in 27 out of 48 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.14
Lecce does not scoreaway in 15 out of 25 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.14
In 8 out of last 10 away matches involving Lecce, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X1.99
Fiorentina concedes in 11 out of 12 last matches.
IT2O (0.5)1.71
In 29 out of 41 last matches involving Lecce, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.692
In 18 out of 25 last matches where Lecce played away, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.692
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including forward Мойзе Кин. The squad is also missing several rotation players, with one more player a doubt. The away side will be missing a first-team player - forward Сантьяго Пьеротти, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Ливио Маринелли (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 433 yellow cards (averaging 4.3 per match) and 29 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 28% of matches (28 out of 100).