Based on last 50 matches in "Italy. Serie A", up to 02/24/2025
To build a prediction for the AS Roma - Monza match, scheduled for 24 February 2025, several key factors could influence the outcome. AS Roma have played 50 matches, in which they won 22 of them, drew 13 times and lost 15 matches. Monza, having played 50 matches, won 9 times, drew 14 matches and lost 27 defeats. In the league, AS Roma average 1.5 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Monza average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded. These sides last met on 5 October 2024 at Monza's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
AS Roma could not beat Monza away in the first round, drawing 1-1. But now at home, I think AS Roma will play much better and be able to beat their opponent, and there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match.
Monza are in a dire situation; I think the team has resigned itself to being relegated to a lower league. The Romans are 5 points short of the European competition places, but the team has a tight schedule requiring rotation. I think an away goal is quite realistic.
Roma’s lineup today is practically the strongest available, which means Roma are determined to win today, take all three points and have the opportunity to move up the league table while they still have the chance to play against weaker teams in home matches.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 10 out of 13 last matches involving Monza, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.31
In 6 out of 7 last matches where Monza played away, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.31
AS Roma wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 4 out of 5 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)1.86
In 4 out of 5 last matches, AS Roma won the second half.
2nd Half - W11.59
In 4 out of last 5 home matches, AS Roma won the second half.
2nd Half - W11.59
In 4 last away matches, Monza lost the second half.
2nd Half - W11.59
In 14 out of 16 last matches involving Monza, over under 4 goals were scored.
TU (3.5)1.445
Monza concedes over 1 goal in 5 away matches straight.
IT1O (1.5)1.432
In 5 out of 6 last matches, AS Roma scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.312
In 6 out of 8 last matches, Monza concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT1O (0.5)1.312
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without a first-team player - forward Артем Довбик. The away side will be missing a first-team player - midfielder Маттео Пессина, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Фабио Мареска (Italy). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 542 yellow cards (averaging 5.4 per match) and 29 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 27% of matches (27 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.