Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 07/16/2024
To build a prediction for the HJK - FK Panevezys match, scheduled for 16 July 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. HJK have played 50 matches, in which they won 23 of them, drew 8 times and lost 19 matches. FK Panevezys, having played 50 matches, won 23 times, drew 14 matches and lost 13 defeats. In the league, HJK average 1.6 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded. FK Panevezys average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. These sides last met on 8 July 2024 at FK Panevezys's ground, where the home side came out on top.
UEFA Champions League, 1st qualifying round. HJK play against FK Panevezys. This is the second leg. The first ended unexpectedly in favor of FK Panevezys. They beat HJK convincingly at home, winning 3:0. I think HJK will win the match, but still will not overturn the three-goal deficit. I’ll try to ... Show more
The reasons for choosing this outcome are, of course, the first match between these teams. FK Panevezys beat HJK at home with a score of 3:0, while taking just 1 corner kick. I assume that away, the Lithuanians will try to preserve the goal difference and play defensively.
Away from home, the experienced Finnish HJK suffered a shocking 0:3 defeat to FK Panevezys. Now the Lithuanians only need to keep a clean sheet in the away match to progress further. I think the visitors will achieve this easily, since HJK cannot exactly be called specialists at breaking down a well... Show more
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
FK Panevezys does not concede in 26 out of 49 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)10.4
FK Panevezys concedes under 2 goals in 40 out of 49 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)3.66
FK Panevezys concedes under 2 goals in 19 out of last 24 away matches.
IT1U (1.5)3.66
FK Panevezys does not lose by more than 1 goal in 46 out of 50 last matches.
H2 (+1.5)2.19
FK Panevezys does not lose awayby more than 1 goal in 22 out of 25 last matches.
H2 (+1.5)2.19
FK Panevezys does not score in 13 out of 25 last matches.
IT2U (0.5)2.125
In 34 out of 49 last matches involving FK Panevezys, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No1.97
HJK scores over 2 goals in 4 out of 8 last matches.
IT1O (2.5)1.805
In 39 out of 42 last matches involving FK Panevezys, over under 4 goals were scored.
TU (3.5)1.77
In 23 out of 25 last matches of FK Panevezys away, over under 4 goals were scored.
TU (3.5)1.77
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the rotation. The away side will be missing several players from the rotation.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Крейг Поусон (England). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 411 yellow cards (averaging 4.1 per match) and 12 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 25% of matches (25 out of 100).