Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 04/11/2024
To build a prediction for the Benfica - Marseille match, scheduled for 11 April 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Benfica have played 50 matches, in which they won 32 of them, drew 10 times and lost 8 matches. Marseille, having played 50 matches, won 21 times, drew 13 matches and lost 16 defeats. In the league, Benfica average 2 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. Marseille average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded. These sides last met on 24 July 2021 at Benfica's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
Marseille have started to fall apart. The team has been performing extremely poorly in recent Ligue 1 rounds. I think Benfica have a good chance today to settle all questions regarding qualification for the next round, and I expect a confident performance from the Lisbon side.
In the first leg of the Champions League Cup quarter-final, Benfica host Marseille.
Benfica began their European campaign in the Champions League, but after losing their first 4 matches, they managed to reach the Europa League, where they eliminated French side Toulouse in the round of 32 (2-1 an... Show more
These teams have had 1 head-to-head meeting, and it ended in a draw. Today I think the home team looks more confident and forceful. The bookmakers are also backing a home win. But we will take a bet with a little insurance.
My prediction: W1 by 1 goal or a draw.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Marseille wins by more than 1 goal in 5 out of 9 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)9
Benfica scores over 2 goals in 9 out of last 16 home matches.
IT1O (2.5)3.17
In 5 out of 6 last matches of Benfica at home, over over 3 goals were scored.
TO (3.5)2.78
Benfica wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 8 out of 14 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)2.73
In 5 last matches involving Benfica, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.37
In 5 out of 7 last matches, Benfica won the second half.
2nd Half - W12.125
In 4 last matches, Marseille lost the second half.
2nd Half - W12.125
In 11 out of last 14 home matches, Benfica won the second half.
2nd Half - W12.125
In 4 out of last 5 away matches, Marseille lost the second half.
2nd Half - W12.125
In 7 out of 9 last matches, Marseille scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)1.99
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without one player from the rotation. The away side will be missing several key players, including defender Жонатан Клосс, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Майкл Оливер (England). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 353 yellow cards (averaging 3.5 per match) and 14 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 30% of matches (30 out of 100).