Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 08/10/2023
To build a prediction for the Akhmat Grozny - Baltika match, scheduled for 10 August 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. Akhmat Grozny have played 50 matches, in which they won 23 of them, drew 7 times and lost 20 matches. Baltika, having played 50 matches, won 24 times, drew 19 matches and lost 7 defeats. In the league, Akhmat Grozny average 1.5 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded. Baltika average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded.
I think the under total should land in this match, as the teams will start cautiously. Akhmat Grozny are experiencing some squad difficulties, while things are generally not bad for Baltika at the start of the season; they already have one win in the cup.
I am choosing a bet based on the referee's pure statistics. Common-sense bets are temporarily unavailable after CSKA's "feats" yesterday and Krylia Sovetov's poor attacking performance.
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The team from Grozny has been performing very poorly lately. However, last season in the RPL, the team achieved strong results. Playing at home is a great motivation and responsibility. Akhmat Grozny are expected to score 2 goals and win the match.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Baltika does not concede in 10 out of 20 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)5.1
Baltika does not concedeaway in 9 out of 17 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)5.1
Akhmat Grozny concedes over 1 goal in 5 out of 6 last matches.
IT2O (1.5)3
In 6 out of 7 last matches, Baltika lost the first half.
1st Half - W12.45
In 4 last away matches, Baltika lost the first half.
1st Half - W12.45
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Akhmat Grozny concedes in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)2.4
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Akhmat Grozny concedes in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.03
In 5 out of 6 last matches, Baltika scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.03
Baltika concedes under 2 goals in 38 out of 50 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)1.98
Baltika does not lose in 34 out of 38 last matches.
2X1.9
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Артур Фёдоров (Russia). Over the last 74 matches, he has shown 353 yellow cards (averaging 4.8 per match) and 14 red cards (averaging 0.2 per match), which marks him as a fairly strict referee. He has awarded a penalty in 26% of matches (19 out of 74).