Based on last 50 matches in "Portugal. Liga Portugal", up to 03/29/2024
To build a prediction for the Estrela - Sporting CP match, scheduled for 29 March 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Estrela have played 28 matches, in which they won 7 of them, drew 8 times and lost 13 matches. Sporting CP, having played 50 matches, won 39 times, drew 6 matches and lost 5 defeats. In the league, Estrela average 1 goals scored per game and 1.5 conceded. Sporting CP average 2.6 scored and 0.9 conceded. These sides last met on 4 November 2023 at Sporting CP's ground, where the home side came out on top.
Let's take more corners in this match. Estrela wins a lot of corners, especially at home. Today, despite being the underdogs, I expect them to have more corners than Sporting CP, but I think there will be a lot of such set pieces. After all, Sporting CP will have possession and set the pace, while t... Show more
The visitors have clearly missed the championship, where they are in first place, and need to increase their lead. It is time to do this right away in an away game; I hope they secure a big victory and leave to celebrate their lead over Benfica.
I used Estrela's last ten home matches for the analysis. The hosts' average individual goal Total is 1.6. Bookmakers offer Individual Total Over 0.5 at 2.12. I see value in this prediction.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
In 5 out of last 6 home matches, Estrela scores in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)3.456
In 6 out of 7 last matches where Estrela played at home, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes2.096
Sporting CP scores over 2 goals in 4 matches straight.
IT2O (2.5)2.05
Sporting CP scores over 2 goals in 4 out of last 5 away matches.
IT2O (2.5)2.05
Estrela scoresat home in 9 out of 10 last matches.
IT1O (0.5)1.96
Sporting CP wins by more than 1 goal in 10 out of 14 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)1.784
Sporting CP wins awayby more than 1 goal in 4 out of 5 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)1.784
In 5 out of 7 last matches, Sporting CP won the first half.
1st Half - W21.72
In 14 out of 16 last matches involving Sporting CP, over over 2 goals were scored.
TO (2.5)1.675
In 10 last matches, Sporting CP scores in the first half.
1st Half - IT2O (0.5)1.485
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Фабиу Вериссиму (Portugal). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 520 yellow cards (averaging 5.2 per match) and 30 red cards (averaging 0.3 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 34% of matches (34 out of 100). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.