Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 07/12/2023
To build a prediction for the HJK - Larne match, scheduled for 12 July 2023, several key factors could influence the outcome. HJK have played 50 matches, in which they won 25 of them, drew 12 times and lost 13 matches. Larne, having played 50 matches, won 31 times, drew 11 matches and lost 8 defeats. In the league, HJK average 1.5 goals scored per game and 1.1 conceded. Larne average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded.
HJK are definitely the favorites in the match — the Finnish champions regularly play in European competitions, while for Larne this is their first such experience. In addition, the home side have a significant advantage in squad depth; HJK are traditionally strong at home and can secure a convincing... Show more
At this odds, this event is worth considering, I think the team from Northern Ireland is being slightly underrated and perhaps the visitors will be able to put up a fight against today's favorite, so a score of 1:1 or 2:1 is quite possible.
Of course, the champions of Finland are the favorites in this match. But the match will not be easy for HJK. There are no obvious problems, of course, but emotions may run high. HJK have quite often started receiving more yellow cards at home than their opponents.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Larne won in 7 out of last 10 away matches.
W25.98
In 7 out of last 10 away matches, Larne won the second half.
2nd Half - W25.94
Larne does not concede in 30 out of 49 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)4.7
Larne does not concedeaway in 13 out of 20 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)4.7
In 7 out of 11 last matches involving HJK, a draw was recorded.
X3.7
HJK wins at homeby more than 1 goal in 7 out of 14 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)2.76
In 6 out of last 8 away matches, Larne scores in the second half.
2nd Half - IT2O (0.5)2.7
Larne does not lose away in 9 out of 10 last matches.
2X2.32
In 10 out of last 13 away matches involving Larne, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.06
HJK scores under 2 goals in 8 out of 9 last matches.
IT1U (1.5)1.87
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several players from the starting lineup.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Гога Кикачеишвили (Georgia). Over the last 51 matches, he has shown 271 yellow cards (averaging 5.3 per match) and 18 red cards (averaging 0.4 per match), making him one of the strictest referees. He has awarded a penalty in 37% of matches (19 out of 51). Based on this statistic, an over on total yellow cards could be worth considering for this match.