To build a prediction for the Arsenal - Leeds match, scheduled for 10 October 2026, several key factors could influence the outcome. In the current season of the England. Premier League, Arsenal have played 5 matches, in which they won 4 of them and lost 1 match. Leeds, having played 5 matches, won 2 times and drew 3 matches. In the league, Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored per game and 0.8 conceded. Leeds average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. These sides last met on 30 January 2026 at Leeds's ground, where the away side proved stronger.
For now, after the Nations League, Arsenal can certainly crush the team, but they may easily rest their key players and play below their best even at home.
The Premier League season resumes after the international break. Arsenal sit second in the table and must recover after their defeat to Brighton. The Gunners host fifth-placed Leeds, who are quite reliable in defense. Our prediction: fewer than 2.5 goals.
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In 6 out of 8 last matches of Arsenal and Leeds against each other, Arsenal wins by more than 1 goal.
H1 (-1.5)2.381
Arsenal wins by more than 1 goal against Leeds at home in 4 out of 5 last matches.
H1 (-1.5)2.381
In 6 last matches, Arsenal won the first half against Leeds.
1st Half - W11.909
In 4 out of 5 last matches at home, Arsenal won the first half against Leeds.
1st Half - W11.909
In 4 out of 5 last matches, Arsenal won the second half.
2nd Half - W11.77
Arsenal scores over 1 goal against Leeds in 7 out of 8 last matches.
IT1O (1.5)1.58
Arsenal scores over 1 goalat home against Leeds in 5 matches straight.
IT1O (1.5)1.58
In 6 last matches, Arsenal scores against Leeds in the first half.
1st Half - IT1O (0.5)1.54
Arsenal won against Leeds in 8 matches straight.
W11.48
Arsenal won against Leeds at home in 5 matches straight.
W11.48
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without several first-team players, including forward Христос Цолис, with several other players also doubtful. The away side will be missing a first-team player - defender Джо Родон, and are also missing several rotation players. Several more Leeds players may also miss out.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Пол Тирни (England). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 356 yellow cards (averaging 3.6 per match) and 13 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 20% of matches (20 out of 100).