Based on last 50 matches across all tournaments, up to 10/12/2024
To build a prediction for the Poland - Portugal match, scheduled for 12 October 2024, several key factors could influence the outcome. Poland have played 47 matches, in which they won 21 of them, drew 10 times and lost 16 matches. Portugal, having played 46 matches, won 33 times, drew 6 matches and lost 7 defeats. In the league, Poland average 1.7 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. Portugal average 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. These sides last met on 19 November 2018 at Portugal's ground, where the match ended in a draw.
The Portuguese consistently win, but their games do not feature many goals — usually around two. Poland, on the other hand, often concede, but they can hope to rely on their defense to withstand the pressure. So a hard-fought match can be expected, but not a very high-scoring one.
Poland need to take points in this match, which will push them toward aggression in challenges, shots, etc. Portugal take quite a lot of corners due to the high number of shots and playing on the front foot. I’ll take Over on corners here.
Pre-Match Facts
Main
Motivation
Portugal does not concede in 12 out of 17 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)2.79
Portugal does not concedeaway in 6 out of 7 last matches.
IT1U (0.5)2.79
Portugal wins by more than 1 goal in 23 out of 46 last matches.
H2 (-1.5)2.57
In 5 out of 6 last matches involving Poland, a draw was recorded in the first half.
1st Half - X2.44
In 14 out of 18 last matches involving Portugal, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No2.235
In 8 last matches where Portugal played away, at least one team did not score.
Both Teams To Score - No2.235
In 4 out of 5 last matches, Poland lost the second half.
2nd Half - W22.025
In 7 out of 9 last matches involving Poland, both teams scored.
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.65
Portugal won in 15 out of 19 last matches.
W21.65
Portugal won in 6 out of last 7 away matches.
W21.65
Injuries & suspensions
The home side will be without a first-team player - forward Аркадиуш Милик. The squad is also missing several rotation players, with one more player a doubt. The away side will be missing several key players, including goalkeeper Руй Патрисиу, and are also missing several rotation players.
Referee statistics
The referee for this match is Сердар Гозюбийк (Netherlands). Over the last 100 matches, he has shown 376 yellow cards (averaging 3.8 per match) and 10 red cards (averaging 0.1 per match), so he cannot be considered overly strict. He has awarded a penalty in 25% of matches (25 out of 100).